Iran’s NPT Withdrawal Option

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by François Nicoullaud The risk of failure in the ongoing negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program has increased after the most recent meetings in Oman and Vienna. The resolution of the key remaining points of contention—about Iran’s enrichment capacity and,… Continue Reading  

Sanctions and Symmetry in the Iran Negotiations

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by Paul R. Pillar Notwithstanding the obvious asymmetries in soon-to-resume nuclear negotiations with Iran (it’s Iran’s nuclear program, not the U.S. one, that is being restricted; it’s the United States, not Iran, that is sanctioning someone else’s economy) the perceptual… Continue Reading  

Graham Fuller’s Five Middle East Predictions for 2015

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Only a fool offers longer term predictions about the Middle East. I offer the following longer terms predictions about the Middle East for 2015.

Lower Oil Prices Will Not Turn Producers into Pushovers

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by Paul R. Pillar The steep drop in the price of oil during the latter half of 2014 has generated much comment about how this development has weakened major oil-producing countries and supposedly made their governments more pliable on issues… Continue Reading  

Iran is no Cuba

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by Hooshang Amirahmadi President Barack Obama’s move towards normalization of relations with Cuba has generated lots of hope and analyses that a similar development may take place with Iran. Jim Lobe, founder of the Lobe Log and Washington Bureau Chief of… Continue Reading