U.S. Economic Warfare and Iran’s Politics of Muddling Through

Hassan Rouhani (Wikimedia Commons)

by Daniel Brumberg It is too early to gauge the overall economic consequences for Iran of the Trump administration’ re-imposition of oil-related sanctions. Their full impact will partly depend on the ability of the European Union (EU), China, Russia, India,… Continue Reading  

Bookkeepers, Mad Mullahs, and the Sources of Iranian Conduct

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by Paul R. Pillar The Trump administration’s policy of “maximum pressure” on Iran so far shows no sign of inducing any desirable change in Iranian policy. Several reasons underlie this failure.  The administration has given the Iranian regime no realistic… Continue Reading  

U.S. Syria Policy Is a Strategic Failure

Vladimir Putin, Bashar al-Assad, and Recep Tayyip Erdogan (vector_brothers via Shutterstock)

by Daniel Brumberg U.S. policy toward Syria pivots around vague and potentially incompatible goals that are not linked to adequate means. The White House wants to insure the permanent destruction of the Islamic State (ISIS or IS), expel Iranian and… Continue Reading  

Iran’s Economic Populism: Antidote to U.S. Pressure

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by Kaveh L. Afrasiabi Exactly 30 years ago, I wrote a dissertation of over 500 pages on state and populism in Iran that ended with a chapter on “permanent populism.” This concept draws together various strands: the pattern of post-revolutionary… Continue Reading  

A Flawed American Sanctions Policy on Iran

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by Daniel Brumberg The Trump Administration’s decision to reimpose sanctions on Iran is animated by a deeply flawed grasp of Iranian politics and an incoherent strategy, one that will not be realized by dreams of regime change in the country.… Continue Reading