Even If US Doesn’t Exit Iran Nuclear Deal, Risk of War Remains

U.S. Black Hawk helicopter over Baghdad (Wikimedia Commons)

by Shireen T. Hunter         When the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France, and Germany signed a deal that effectively prevents Iran from developing nuclear weapons, those in Iran and in other signatory states who did not want… Continue Reading  

Iran’s Cultural Cleavages And The Need for National Compromise

273858387_39e230175e_o

by Shireen Hunter Popular demonstrations in Iran at the end of 2017 reflected economic and other grievances along with a growing frustration and impatience with the Islamic system’s shortcomings. However, the demonstrations also revealed deep cultural cleavages in Iranian society.… Continue Reading  

The Dismantling of the Middle East State System

1024px-20151030_Syrians_and_Iraq_refugees_arrive_at_Skala_Sykamias_Lesvos_Greece_2

by Shireen Hunter Following the end of World War II, Middle Eastern countries consolidated their state structures. By contrast, over the last two decades, those structures have largely been dismantled. This process began in 2003 with the US-led invasion of… Continue Reading  

Iranian Leadership: Heed Warning Signs and Change Priorities

99403447_906881d0-e196-4cdb-b64e-da901bdf392f-1

by Shireen Hunter                Iran’s leadership, especially the hardliners, has attributed the latest protests in several major Iranian cities, including the capital Tehran, to plots by the enemies of Islam and the Iranian Revolution,… Continue Reading  

Why the Risk of War is Higher with Iran than North Korea

36809038113_890bc3b253_z

by Shireen Hunter There is a fear that the United States might become embroiled in war in 2018 with Iran, North Korea, or possibly both. In view of the inflammatory rhetoric directed by the United States and North Korea toward… Continue Reading