Iran’s View on Turkey’s Operation Peace Spring 

by Giorgio Cafiero A common view in Washington is that President Donald Trump’s decision to essentially green light Turkey’s Operation Peace Spring against the Peoples’ Protection Units (YPG) in northern Syria benefits key U.S. adversaries, including the Islamic Republic of… Continue Reading  

Mutual Deterrence: Good for the Middle East, Bad for the Nuclear Weapons Industry?

by Helena Cobban Over the past three-plus months it has become increasingly clear that, despite the bombast that Pres. Donald Trump has hurled against the Islamic Republic of Iran (along with a full deck of extremely harmful sanctions and some… Continue Reading  

Can Russia Play Persian Gulf Mediator?

by Samuel Ramani On October 3, Saudi newspaper Asharq al-Awsat published a wide-ranging interview with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. In this interview, Lavrov reiterated Russia’s support for Syria’s return to the Arab League and extolled Saudi Arabia’s ability to… Continue Reading  

Europe Is Not Bowing to the U.S. on Iran

by Eldar Mamedov Following the (still unexplained) September 14 strikes on two Saudi oil facilities, there is a growing perception—expressed with hope by some, dismay by others—that Europe is moving closer to the United States in its assessment of the… Continue Reading  

Running Hot and Cold: Gulf Balances on the Edge of War and Peace

by James M. Dorsey With war and peace hanging in the balance, tensions in the Gulf are running hot and cold. Saudi and Iranian leaders are this week walking back from the brink, signalling that they want to avoid outright… Continue Reading