Averting the Middle East’s 1914 Moment

by International Crisis Group Today’s standoff between the U.S. and Iran is reminiscent of tensions on the eve of World War I. A small incident could blow up into region-spanning conflict. Third-party mediation is urgently needed to begin de-escalation that… Continue Reading  

Saving the Stockholm Agreement and Averting a Regional Conflagration in Yemen

by International Crisis Group Yemen witnessed a rare moment of international coherence and focus in December 2018 when a UN-brokered, U.S.-backed accord prevented a battle for the Red Sea port city of Hodeida and staved off a likely famine. Seven… Continue Reading  

Stopping the War for Tripoli

by International Crisis Group Almost two months have passed since Libyan National Army (LNA) forces commanded by Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar marched on Tripoli from their base in eastern Libya in an attempt to seize the capital. They expected a… Continue Reading  

Averting a Full-blown War in Libya

by International Crisis Group A dangerous military confrontation is underway in Libya between east-based forces loyal to Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar and armed groups allied to the UN-backed government in Tripoli. So far, international diplomatic responses have been too timid… Continue Reading  

Making Yemen’s Hodeida Deal Stick

by Peter Salisbury On 17 December, the UN announced a ceasefire in the contested governorate of Hodeida. Thus far, after some initial wobbling, it has held. In this Q&A, Crisis Group’s senior Yemen analyst Peter Salisbury unpacks the ceasefire and… Continue Reading