Why Iran Should Disentangle Itself from Middle East Conflicts

Peasant Brawl by Adriaen van OstradePeasant Brawl by Adriaen van Ostrade

by Shireen T. Hunter   

Throughout the last seven decades, Iran’s direct or indirect involvement in Middle-East-related issues has been a source of difficulties for its foreign relations and domestic politics. The most consequential of these issues has been the Palestinian question and the Arab-Israeli dispute. Iran’s approach to this dispute, especially its position regarding Israel, has played a critical role in defining its regional politics and in shaping the character of its relations with Arab states.

In 1947, conscious of the sensitivities of the country’s clerical establishment, the Iranian government voted against the UN plan to partition Palestine. It also voted against admitting Israel to the United Nations. During the 1948 Arab-Israeli war, Iran showed tacit support for Arabs. Despite pressure from the clerics and some nationalists, however, it did not become engaged in the war. Notwithstanding the close relations between pre-revolutionary Iran and Israel, the Iranian government recognized Israel de facto and not de jure.

The principal impetus to closer Iran-Israel relations was the rise of revolutionary governments in the Arab world that over time established close relations with the Soviet Union. These revolutionary governments—Gamal Abdel Nasser in Egypt, successive revolutionary governments in Iraq beginning in 1958, and similar regimes in Syria and Libya—pursued anti-Iran policies. Their animosity toward Iran had several sources. They all were against Middle East monarchies, including that of Iran. But it also derived from the Arab nationalist ethos and pan-Arabist ambitions of these regimes. For example, Nasser’s ambitions in the Persian Gulf, which he renamed the Arabian Gulf, contributed to his anti-Iran policies.

The inability of Arab revolutionaries to appreciate Iran’s concerns about Soviet intentions brought Iran closer to Israel. Located miles away from the USSR, they could not understand why Iran, which lay next to the Soviet Union and had been the subject of both Russian and Soviet aggression, was so preoccupied with it.

During the 1960s, Nasser helped the Iranian opposition. In 1964, members of the Iranian opposition, including those of the National Front, visited Cairo and met with him. Islamists were also in touch with Nasser and received help from Egypt.

After the 1958 revolution, General Qasim declared Khuzestan to be part of Iraq and claimed the entire Shatt al-Arab. Such a mindset eventually led Saddam Hussein to attack Iran when the country was in the throes of revolutionary turmoil.

The PLO and other Palestinian groups, such as George Habash’s Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine, trained Iranian opposition in their camps in Jordan and Lebanon. Libya covered the financial costs. Many of these groups took part in the revolution, established the Revolutionary Guards, and acquired high positions within the Islamic government.

Thus, it was not so much Iran’s pro-Israel stance that caused revolutionary Arabs to turn against it. Rather, it was Arab attitudes toward Iran that pushed it closer to Israel. Yet, Iran always condemned Israeli acquisition of Arab lands after the 1967 war (and before the 1979 revolution).

Concerned about Soviet influence in the Arab world, Iran tried to reach a modus vivendi with Syria and the PLO. However, the Shah was rebuffed by the PLO’s Yasser Arafat and only coolly received by Syria’s Hafez al-Assad. Meanwhile, the Shah’s overtures might have caused Israel to see him as becoming unreliable. It might have even encouraged America to take a second look at him.

The revolution of 1979 reversed the situation. At a time when Arab revolutionary fervor had subsided, Iran took on the mantle of revolution, this time in the name of Islam. Overnight, Iran was transformed into Israel’s most implacable foe and has remained so until now.

However, Iran’s anti-Israel stand has not endeared it to Arabs. When Saddam Hussein invaded Iran, the same PLO that had before gloried in helping to topple Iran’s monarchy, joined Iraq, showing that blood is thicker than ideology.

Since then, Iran’s position on the Palestinian issue and on Israel has become a major bone of contention in its relations with Arab states. This could be partly because of Iran’s bad timing. In the pre-revolutionary era, when Palestine mattered to Arabs because of other security preoccupations, Iran moved perhaps too close to Israel, thus antagonizing Arabs.

After the revolution, not realizing that Arab priorities had shifted, Iran has succeeded with its policies to antagonize both Arabs and Israelis, and now faces a joint Arab-Israeli challenge to its very survival.

Iran’s Middle East Experience

Geopolitically, Iran is peripheral to the Arab Middle East and Israel. Its usefulness lies in its function as a balancing factor in intra-Arab and Arab-Israeli politics. However, Iran never has and never will be a determining force either in Arab politics or in Arab-Israeli dynamics. Over-involvement in favor of either side works against Iran’s interests. When the Shah tried to act independently of Israeli preferences, he antagonized the Jewish state. The Islamic Republic’s excessive anti-Israel posture has earned it the enmity of both Arabs and Israel.

Now, the conservative Arab governments support Iranian opposition groups inside and outside the country, as the revolutionary Arabs did during the monarchy.

In short, Iran can never be part of the Arab political order, nor can it shape the direction of Arab-Israeli relations. It will always be an outsider and at best a very distant connection.

In addition to geopolitics, this situation is influenced by ethnic, sectarian, and cultural factors. Despite Iran’s Islamic claims, identities in the Middle East are based primarily on ethnicity and language and the kinship that these bonds create. In this context, Iran is alone in the region. Iran’s Shia character further isolates it in the largely Sunni Arab world.

A look at Iran’s relations with Syria and post-Saddam Iraq demonstrates again that Iran’s over-involvement in Middle East politics has never been and will not be in its interest. Although Iran has invested billions of dollars in Syria and shed much blood in the current conflict, the Assad regime still supports the UAE’s claim to Iranian islands. It is Russia that will reap the economic benefits in Syria, if there are any, once the war is over. Russia has already signed a 50-year agreement to exploit Syria phosphate mines. In fact, Iran’s relations with Syria have been extremely one-sided, in the latter’s favor.

The Iraqi government, meanwhile, has not recognized the Algiers agreement on the resolution of its border conflicts with Iran. It has not signed a peace treaty and imposes severe limits on trade with Iran.

Even more seriously, Iran’s Middle East adventures could lead to a military confrontation with the United States. If that happens, Iran can be sure that none of the regional powers will come to its aid. On the contrary, some of them would hover around to see which part of Iran they could seize.

A Better Strategy

A wiser strategy for Iran regarding the Middle East is to focus on issues that have a direct impact on its security and vital economic interests. This approach would limit Iran’s focus to Iraq and the Persian Gulf. Clearly, Iran cannot be indifferent to Iraq’s political evolution, given its turbulent relations with that country from 1958 to 2003.

In the Persian Gulf, too, Iran should not take sides in intra-Arab disputes. It should not even volunteer to mediate in such disputes unless asked by the parties involved.

In general, Iran must realize that its geopolitical and cultural loneliness requires that it not become embroiled in the disputes of others. To balance regional forces, it should expand its relations with countries outside the region, in Europe as well as Asia. Iran’s regional interests would be best served by constructive relations with all major players. Certainly, Iran should not get involved in any kind of crusade or pursue ambitions that are beyond its reach. The Shah paid a price for such behavior and so has the Islamic Republic.

The Iranian leadership has a choice. It can possess the foresight to realize Iran’s geopolitical and cultural limits and adjust its policies accordingly. Or it can exhaust the country and open it to military attacks by pursuing an unrealistic, unrealizable, and ideologically determined agenda.

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Shireen Hunter

Shireen T. Hunter is a Research Professor at Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service. Her latest publication is God On Our Side: Religion, Foreign Policy and International Affairs (Rowman & Littlefield, December 2016).

11 Comments

  1. Excellent Article. No matter how hard Iran tries it will not be accepted by the Sunni -Arab world. This goes back to the divide between Mauvia and Yazeed on one hand and Imam Ali and Imam Husain on the other.

  2. Every other article written by Dr. Hunter repeats the same prescription for Iran; over and over and over again. I can understand the frustration she feels at the apparent irrationality of Iran’s actions. There are however several flaws in her analysis. In fact, Iran does act quite rationally when you analyze her circumstances in more depth.

    First, even if the Islamic Republic were to abandon the Palestinians as Dr. Hunter prescribes, it would not ameliorate US hostility towards Iran. Or even Israel’s! Iran is too big and in their way to complete domination of the region. That is the reason for their hostility towards her; it is not for any supposed “sponsorship of terrorism” or any other such canard. Iran has been in fact trying to come to a modus vivendi with the US, but the Americans simply have been too uninterested. It would be unwise for Iran to drop the propaganda benefits of exploiting the Palestinian cause under such circumstances. She has no choice but to seek closer ties with the other two great powers, Russia and China.

    Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Abu Dhabi and the Sunni Jihadis would be hostile to Iran no matter what Iran does. Dr Hunter is correct that it was not Iran that seeked out enmity towards Arabs but there are some Arabs that are always murderously hostile towards Iran. Under such circumstances Iran should certainly not turtle up as Dr Hunter suggests; such timidity would only encourage further aggression, but rather she should take the fight to her enemies. One effective way to do this is to back the enemies of your enemies. Iran does this by backing the Shia Arabs and now Qatar. Of course Saudi Arabia doesn’t like this; of course Syrian Sunni Jihadists do not like this but Iran should just carry on.

    Iran is not an island, she is located in a tough region and she has to fight to survive. But even Britain the island interfered in European politics, she did “become embroiled in the disputes of others” repeatedly, and backed the enemies of her enemies.

  3. Mr. Nasser whoever you are bravo and well said. Ms Hunter, whom, I have read for many years, is not an unbiased Iran analyst, like many of her other academic Iranian studies colleagues in western institutions, she is very much interested in an Iran under western influence and hegemony rather than the religious nationalism that the revolution inspired. For an academic scholar of ME policies, to suggest an ancient country with positive influence all over the Middle East for millenniums, to disengage herself from the region’ affairs is frankly ridiculous. Nevertheless I think the Emirates money is at work and is producing western favorable, but ridiculous articles every now and than. Ms Hunter as is said in Persian, she hammers one on the nail and one on the horse show as long as founds are transferred.

  4. Professor Hunter, for the same reasons you’ve described in your article the Arab states, near or far from Iran, can NOT be trusted by the Iranians or as the Arabs call them (Ajams). Iranians are Indo-Europeans who were mainly farmers migrated south for better farming conditions and also to escape from the white European’s persecution! So genetically Iranians are different than the nomadic tribes who lived in deserts for 1000 of years with no culture or civilization! Obviously the Arabs will never get along with the Persians no matter what! For you to suggest that Iran should pack up their foreign policy and their own circle of security and go home not only ridiculous it als is a disgrace!
    The Arab states from the Persian Gulf to the Nile are so inept and cowards that they couldn’t even protect their own likes such as Palestinians and their lands! They were so inept that Sykes-Picot agreement divided their land into pieces without any resistance and in fact the tribes were happy to each have a piece of desert to live without fighting the other tribes! Which it indicates that the Arab tribes don’t even get along with their own likes let alone the Persians!
    If anyone should pack up and go home is the Israelis who have contributed nothing positive to the region but aggressions, destruction, killing and land grabbing to the ME!

  5. Another day, another anti Iran nonsensical writeup by Shireen Hunter. I bet she was totally in agreement with George W Bush’s “We’ll fight them there so we don’t have to face them in USA” but when it comes to the Islamic Republic of Iran the same principle doesn’t apply even though it’s literally next door.

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