Middle Eastern Black Swans Dot China’s Belt and Road

Xi Jinping (Kaliva via Shutterstock)

by James M. Dorsey  If any one part of the world has forced China to throw its long-standing foreign and defense policy principles out the window and increasingly adopt attitudes associated with a global power, it is the greater Middle East,… Continue Reading  

Pompeo Digs a Deeper Hole for US Iran Policy

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by Daniel Brumberg The drama surrounding plans for a summit between North Korean President Kim Jong-Un and US President Donald Trump presages a crisis in US proliferation diplomacy. The Trump Administration has no coherent strategy that signals a feasible bottom… Continue Reading  

North Korea and the Libya Model

Muammar Qaddafi (Wikimedia Commons)

by Paul R. Pillar It will take a while to piece together the strange story of the U.S.-North Korean summit that has been on, then off, then maybe on again. President Trump laid down a smokescreen by speaking, including in… Continue Reading  

The International Community Can’t Afford to Fail in Libya

Demonstration in Al Bayda, Libya in 2011 (Wikimedia Commons)

by Haki Abazi The danger of Libya turning into a wholly fragmented failed state, a long-term haven of chaos run by organized crime, is real. In such a state, Libya will threaten an already fragile regional stability and generate constant threats… Continue Reading  

Even If US Doesn’t Exit Iran Nuclear Deal, Risk of War Remains

U.S. Black Hawk helicopter over Baghdad (Wikimedia Commons)

by Shireen T. Hunter         When the United States, China, Russia, Britain, France, and Germany signed a deal that effectively prevents Iran from developing nuclear weapons, those in Iran and in other signatory states who did not want… Continue Reading