Qatar Frees Itself of OPEC

Novikov Aleksey via Shutterstock

by Giorgio Cafiero Qatar’s recent decision to leave the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) effective January 1, 2019 marks the first time a Middle Eastern member has left the cartel. Nonetheless, given Qatar’s national strategic needs and forecasted trends… Continue Reading  

Khashoggi Case Is No Moral Issue for China or Russia

Vladimir Putin and Mohammed bin Salman

by Giorgio Cafiero Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MbS)’s exchanges with the Chinese and Russian leaders at the G20 summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina were rich in geopolitical context. Keen to exploit tension between Riyadh and Washington, officials in Beijing… Continue Reading  

Will House Democrats End U.S. Involvement in Yemen War?

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by Giorgio Cafiero The success of congressional Democrats, who took back control of the House of Representatives in yesterday’s midterm elections, poses new challenges for the White House. It will no longer have a Republican-dominated Congress to work with throughout… Continue Reading  

Will Jordan and Syria Normalize Ties?

Syrian refugee camp in Jordan (Foreign and Commonwealth Office via Flickr)

by Giorgio Cafiero After Syria’s crisis erupted in 2011, Jordanian-Syrian relations suffered immensely. Early in the conflict, Damascus began accusing Amman of financing and training “terrorist” organizations fighting against the Syrian regime. In May 2014, the Hashemite kingdom expelled Syria’s… Continue Reading  

Saudi and Emirati Stakes in China’s Ascendancy

Xi Jinping and Mohammed bin Salman

by Giorgio Cafiero and Bridgett Neff Although the United States remains an extremely powerful force in the Middle East, the strategically flawed and disastrous invasion and occupation of Iraq in 2003, the financial crash of 2008, and the chaotic fallout… Continue Reading