Saudi Arabia is Pissed: What Are the Risks for Lebanon?

by Aurélie Daher It’s official: Saudi Arabia has declared open war on Lebanese Hezbollah. On March 2, the Gulf Cooperation Council, which gathers the six monarchies of the Arab Gulf (Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, and… Continue Reading

Can Putin Save Syria? Can Anyone?

by Aurélie Daher The Russian intervention in Syria has triggered a wave of comments and critiques in the media on both sides of the Atlantic and all along the shores of the Mediterranean and the Gulf. Analysts freely speculate about… Continue Reading

Wikileaks Strikes Again: Saudi Meddling in Lebanon

by Aurelie Daher Last Saturday morning, Al-Akhbar, a Lebanese daily opposed to the West- and Saudi-friendly March 14 movement, once again helped Wikileaks disseminate material, this time with 70,000 diplomatic cables from the Saudi foreign ministry. And nearly half a… Continue Reading

Why Israel Will Not Wage War On Hezbollah This Summer

by Aurélie Daher It’s been such perennial for nearly a decade now that we can almost call it a tradition. Every year since 2006, at roughly the same time in late spring, some analysts, officials, or other informed observers confidently… Continue Reading

Opening a Southern Front in the Hezbollah-Israel Conflict?

by Aurelie Daher On February 8, the Syrian army launched an assault along the dividing line between Damascus’s southern suburbs and villages north of Quneitra and Deraa in the southern part of the country until recently controlled by remnants of… Continue Reading